Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $19,932$ on 2020-10-10
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $317$ on 2020-10-10
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,662$ on 2020-10-10
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $98,451$ on 2020-10-10
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{90,098.5}{1 + 10^{-0.016 (t - 98.9)}}\) (asimptote \(90,098.5\))
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5,894$ on 2020-10-10
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,777.5}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 52.1)}}\) (asimptote \(5,777.5\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $92,557$ on 2020-10-10
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $15,466$ on 2020-10-10
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{12,831.8}{1 + 10^{-0.008 (t - 69.3)}}\) (asimptote \(12,831.8\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $275$ on 2020-10-10
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{254.7}{1 + 10^{-0.045 (t - 31.9)}}\) (asimptote \(254.7\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,328$ on 2020-10-10
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $11,849$ on 2020-10-10
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,235.6}{1 + 10^{-0.022 (t - 57.1)}}\) (asimptote \(8,235.6\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $346$ on 2020-10-10
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{332.0}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 36.5)}}\) (asimptote \(332.0\))
Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,003$ on 2020-10-10
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $32,575$ on 2020-10-10
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $667$ on 2020-10-10
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{616.9}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 35.2)}}\) (asimptote \(616.9\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $5,446$ on 2020-10-10
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $3,460$ on 2020-10-10
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,013.2}{1 + 10^{-0.056 (t - 31.7)}}\) (asimptote \(2,013.2\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-10-10
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.0}{1 + 10^{-0.073 (t - 22.3)}}\) (asimptote \(10.0\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $984$ on 2020-10-10
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $156,931$ on 2020-10-10
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{297,117.2}{1 + 10^{-0.004 (t - 258.1)}}\) (asimptote \(297,117.2\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10,175$ on 2020-10-10
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,788.0}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 39.1)}}\) (asimptote \(9,788.0\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $126,554$ on 2020-10-10
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $593,565$ on 2020-10-10
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{407,997.5}{1 + 10^{-0.011 (t - 85.3)}}\) (asimptote \(407,997.5\))
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $42,850$ on 2020-10-10
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{41,082.2}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 45.9)}}\) (asimptote \(41,082.2\))
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $548,220$ on 2020-10-10
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $349,494$ on 2020-10-10
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{262,658.2}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 48.8)}}\) (asimptote \(262,658.2\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $36,140$ on 2020-10-10
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{34,994.4}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 47.1)}}\) (asimptote \(34,994.4\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $74,829$ on 2020-10-10
